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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465beachboy4RN1youcanbuythisbot
Record (consensus markets)58% (4536–3323, n=7859)no settled market48% (14167–15642, n=29809)49% (6327–6547, n=12874)
Consensus PnL$7.8M—$14.8M-$15K
Tracked asPM monthly #19—PM monthly #29 + pinnedPM monthly #739
Sides with the consensus67% (16 of 24 open)no open consensus position49% (19 of 39 open)54% (13 of 24 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=460, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2312, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1408, ROI +4%
not computed yet
  • Soccer +33 pts n=541, ROI +29%
  • Tennis +25 pts n=46, ROI +19%
  • MLB +30 pts n=15, ROI +28%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136———
Settled positions, side won59% of 7133 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%—94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 633 at avg 67¢, ROI +28%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)—10% (won 57% of 2593)9% (won 100% of 60)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1746)—22% (won 94% of 5682)16% (won 100% of 100)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2085)—35% (won 99% of 9181)22% (won 99% of 141)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2120)—33% (won 100% of 8519)52% (won 100% of 332)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465beachboy4RN1youcanbuythisbot
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5.8K——No $371
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $3.3KUnder $22
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $2.5KYes $2
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $1.6KUnder $810
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $1.9KNo $255
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $1.3KOver $5
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $529Yes $18
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $36Under $20
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $7No $47
Chennai Open: Mai Hontama vs Magda Linette
same side · consensus Mai Hontama
Mai Hontama $14K—Mai Hontama $18K—
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7KRayo Vallecano de Madrid $5
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $1.1KUnder $5
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $360Over $21
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $192Yes $8
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $20Under $24
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $42Under $2
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1