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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465andy29BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)58% (4535–3309, n=7844)40% (433–659, n=1092)45% (572–710, n=1282)
Consensus PnL$8.0M$62K$7.9M
Tracked asPM monthly #14was PM monthly #1000PM monthly #2
Sides with the consensus65% (17 of 26 open)100% (2 of 2 open)77% (27 of 35 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=459, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2301, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1407, ROI +4%
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136Finance −6 pts, n=55—
Settled positions, side won59% of 7119 at avg 55¢, ROI +1%41% of 857 at avg 40¢, ROI +2%97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)51% (won 5% of 433)10% (won 82% of 60)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1743)6% (won 42% of 55)35% (won 98% of 204)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2080)12% (won 58% of 102)35% (won 100% of 202)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2114)31% (won 92% of 267)20% (won 100% of 116)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465andy29BreakTheBank
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.5K—Yes $55K
Jaguars vs. Ravens
same side · consensus Jaguars
Ravens $36K—Ravens $292K
Spread: Jaguars (-9.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
Ravens $29K—Ravens $194K
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
same side · consensus Yes
No $45—No $72K
Spread: Jaguars (-8.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
Ravens $15K—Ravens $293
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus No
No $4.5K—No $2.4K