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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465andy29BreakTheBankndb1
Record (consensus markets)58% (21–15, n=36)no settled market96% (291–13, n=304)52% (102–94, n=196)
Consensus PnL-$204K$0$8.4M$2.7M
Tracked asPM monthly #8was PM monthly #1000PM monthly #1PM monthly #111
Sides with the consensus58% (18 of 31 open)92% (22 of 24 open)82% (32 of 39 open)74% (66 of 89 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=83, ROI +49%
  • NBA +47 pts n=58, ROI +46%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=160, ROI +37%
not computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won——95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39%—
Entries under 30¢——11% (won 69% of 36)—
Entries 30–50¢——35% (won 97% of 116)—
Entries 50–70¢——37% (won 99% of 124)—
Entries 70¢ and up——17% (won 100% of 56)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465andy29BreakTheBankndb1
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.5K—Yes $31K—
Spread: Bills (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Vikings
Vikings $18K—Bills $3.4K—
Will Jaxon Smith-Njigba finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most receiving yards?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $270—No $10
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
——No $425KNo $350K
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $306KYes $12K
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
same side · consensus Yes
No $26—No $41K—
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus No
No $4.5K—No $2.4K—