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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465RN1S-Workswhite-rabbit
Record (consensus markets)54% (4949–4167, n=9116)48% (19699–21461, n=41160)75% (2552–856, n=3408)53% (411–361, n=772)
Consensus PnL$8.5M$14.9M$3.6M$248K
Tracked asPM monthly #9PM monthly #34 + pinnedPM monthly #68PM monthly #815
Sides with the consensus48% (12 of 25 open)54% (39 of 72 open)0% (0 of 1 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +10 pts n=467, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2316, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1408, ROI +4%
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136—Crypto −1 pts, n=46—
Settled positions, side won59% of 7152 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%58% of 605 at avg 51¢, ROI +12%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)10% (won 57% of 2594)6% (won 14% of 145)28% (won 5% of 167)
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 46% of 1753)22% (won 94% of 5704)16% (won 48% of 367)17% (won 32% of 105)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2092)35% (won 99% of 9204)23% (won 60% of 509)25% (won 86% of 153)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2125)33% (won 100% of 8622)55% (won 96% of 1235)30% (won 97% of 180)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465RN1S-Workswhite-rabbit
Sopo: Tatjana Maria vs Luisina Giovannini
opposite sides · consensus Luisina Giovannini
Tatjana Maria $14KLuisina Giovannini $51K——
Orleans: Clement Tabur vs Lukas Neumayer
same side · consensus Clement Tabur
Clement Tabur $61KClement Tabur $25K——
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Max Dahlin
same side · consensus Tomas Etcheverry
Max Dahlin $2.9KMax Dahlin $1.3K——
Wizards vs. Pistons
same side · consensus Pistons
Pistons $3.6KPistons $201——
Orleans: Max Houkes vs Tom Gentzsch
same side · consensus Tom Gentzsch
Max Houkes $1Max Houkes $698——