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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | HoshinoAI | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (40–41, n=81) | 67% (2–1, n=3) | 42% (124–173, n=297) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | -$397K | -$4.6K | $124K | — |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #36 | PM monthly #147 | PM monthly #39 | PM monthly #160 |
| Sides with the consensus | 45% (5 of 11 open) | 54% (19 of 35 open) | 72% (33 of 46 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=21 | — | — | NFL −8 pts, n=71 |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0% | 0% of 4 at avg 7¢, ROI 0% | 100% of 151 at avg 52¢, ROI +47% | 54% of 496 at avg 57¢, ROI +1% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 11% of 287) | 100% (won 0% of 4) | 6% (won 100% of 9) | 19% (won 10% of 96) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 50% of 452) | 0% | 42% (won 100% of 63) | 21% (won 35% of 105) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 68% of 546) | 0% | 40% (won 100% of 61) | 27% (won 54% of 132) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 93% of 588) | 0% | 12% (won 100% of 18) | 33% (won 91% of 163) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | HoshinoAI | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Heat (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Heat $52K | — | Jazz $17K | — |
| Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 228.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $18K | — | Under $742 | — |
| Sopo: Maria Lourdes Carle vs Valentina Mediorreal opposite sides · consensus Maria Lourdes Carle | Valentina Mediorreal $37 | — | Maria Lourdes Carle $3.3K | — |
| WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Linda Noskova same side · consensus Linda Noskova | Coco Gauff $16K | — | Coco Gauff $5.9K | — |
| Spread: Bowling Green (-5.5) same side · consensus Kent State | Kent State $192 | — | Kent State $1.2K | — |