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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | GainMuscles | ndb1 | S-Works | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (4827–4032, n=8859) | no settled market | 63% (1096–631, n=1727) | 75% (2542–853, n=3395) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.2M | — | $4.6M | $3.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #8 | PM monthly #397 | PM monthly #108 | PM monthly #60 |
| Sides with the consensus | 64% (21 of 33 open) | no open consensus position | 74% (73 of 99 open) | 50% (4 of 8 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
| ||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=136 | — | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | Crypto −1 pts, n=46 |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7152 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | — | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1182) | — | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 6% (won 14% of 145) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 25% (won 46% of 1753) | — | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 16% (won 48% of 367) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2092) | — | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 23% (won 60% of 509) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2125) | — | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 55% (won 96% of 1235) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | GainMuscles | ndb1 | S-Works |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 3 Winner opposite sides · consensus T1 | T1 $28 | — | — | Bilibili Gaming $154K |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 2 Winner same side · consensus T1 | T1 $316K | — | — | T1 $863K |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming | Bilibili Gaming $632K | — | — | Bilibili Gaming $386K |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 1 Winner same side · consensus T1 | Bilibili Gaming $53K | — | — | Bilibili Gaming $744K |
| Pelicans vs. Clippers same side · consensus Clippers | Pelicans $76K | — | — | Pelicans $52K |