Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpl3t0
Record (consensus markets)57% (4487–3372, n=7859)53% (5952–5311, n=11263)54% (33–28, n=61)
Consensus PnL$8.9M$3.3M$43K
Tracked asPM monthly #90PM monthly #22PM monthly #673
Sides with the consensus75% (21 of 28 open)67% (216 of 322 open)71% (5 of 7 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%52% of 88 at avg 48¢, ROI +11%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)29% (won 11% of 423)28% (won 28% of 25)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)16% (won 40% of 243)25% (won 36% of 22)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)17% (won 62% of 255)25% (won 64% of 22)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)38% (won 94% of 561)22% (won 89% of 19)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

11 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpl3t0
76ers vs. Pistons
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
Pistons $30K76ers $7.4K—
Hornets vs. Nets
opposite sides · consensus Nets
Nets $429Hornets $3.4K—
Spread: Knicks (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
Knicks $3.0KBulls $156—
Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
Pacers $2.0KGrizzlies $673—
Spread: Pistons (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
Pistons $39976ers $891—
Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan
opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan
Central Michigan $902Eastern Michigan $60—
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)
same side · consensus Thunder
Thunder $108KThunder $3.5K—
Raptors vs. Nuggets
same side · consensus Nuggets
Nuggets $73KNuggets $2.6K—
Toledo vs. Sacramento State
same side · consensus Toledo
Sacramento State $20KSacramento State $215—
Trail Blazers vs. Suns
same side · consensus Trail Blazers
Suns $16KSuns $2.5K—
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 205.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $15KOver $4.2K—
Mavericks vs. Spurs
same side · consensus Spurs
Spurs $9.3KSpurs $51—
Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)
same side · consensus Raptors
Raptors $6.6KRaptors $379—
Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
Pacers $6Pacers $3.3K—
Spread: Celtics (-12.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
Celtics $1.3KCeltics $1.3K—
Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $283Under $2.1K—
Timberwolves vs. Rockets
same side · consensus Timberwolves
Timberwolves $156Timberwolves $91—