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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpjoseph00677wpj
Record (consensus markets)57% (4473–3354, n=7827)53% (5927–5304, n=11231)53% (10–9, n=19)39% (12–19, n=31)
Consensus PnL$8.9M$3.3M$5.6M$28K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #344PM monthly #21PM monthly #1was PM monthly #998
Sides with the consensus68% (17 of 25 open)63% (258 of 412 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%36% of 28 at avg 41¢, ROI −4%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)29% (won 11% of 423)12% (won 0% of 2)39% (won 0% of 11)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)16% (won 40% of 243)6% (won 0% of 1)21% (won 33% of 6)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)17% (won 62% of 255)65% (won 73% of 11)14% (won 50% of 4)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)38% (won 94% of 561)18% (won 67% of 3)25% (won 86% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpjoseph00677wpj
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $192KNo $186K——
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Fenerbahçe SK
Liverpool FC $4.4KFenerbahçe SK $23K——
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Real Madrid CF
AEK $883Real Madrid CF $24K——
Spread: Celtics (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
Celtics $436Bucks $251——
Will AEK vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $268KNo $119K——
Exact Score: SK Slavia Praha 0 - 1 Arsenal FC?
same side · consensus No
No $86KNo $101K——
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $24KOver $42K——
AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $155Under $26K——
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $11KNo $15K——
Will PSV win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus Yes
No $318No $5.1K——
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $1.1KNo $814——
Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $251Under $40——