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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpjoseph00677whosay
Record (consensus markets)58% (4535–3309, n=7844)52% (6569–6087, n=12656)45% (10–12, n=22)59% (1112–788, n=1900)
Consensus PnL$8.0M$3.6M$5.3M-$37K
Tracked asPM monthly #14PM monthly #10PM monthly #3was PM monthly #695
Sides with the consensus64% (16 of 25 open)72% (98 of 137 open)no open consensus position43% (3 of 7 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=459, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2301, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1407, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—Tennis −3 pts, n=694
Settled positions, side won59% of 7119 at avg 55¢, ROI +1%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%58% of 2066 at avg 60¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)29% (won 11% of 465)12% (won 0% of 2)11% (won 17% of 229)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1743)16% (won 40% of 255)6% (won 0% of 1)26% (won 36% of 541)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2080)16% (won 62% of 260)65% (won 73% of 11)28% (won 57% of 578)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2114)39% (won 94% of 637)18% (won 67% of 3)35% (won 88% of 718)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpjoseph00677whosay
Magic vs. Suns
opposite sides · consensus Magic
Magic $157KSuns $5.1K——
Jaguars vs. Ravens
opposite sides · consensus Jaguars
Ravens $43KJaguars $305——
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $11KUnder $254——
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5.8KNo $499——
Exact Score: Al Ettifaq Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Hilal Saudi Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $230—Yes $789
Exact Score: Al Ahli Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Taawoun Saudi Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $312—Yes $254
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $319—Yes $161
Exact Score: Al Faisaly Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Diraiyah Saudi Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $160—Yes $137
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)
same side · consensus Heat
Heat $266Heat $1.3K——
Spread: Suns (-1.5)
same side · consensus Magic
Magic $500Magic $770——