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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (37–38, n=75) | 60% (12–8, n=20) | 42% (116–157, n=273) | 68% (307–142, n=449) |
| Consensus PnL | -$380K | $779K | $237K | -$39K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #37 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #30 | PM monthly #35 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 43% (3 of 7 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) | 55% (11 of 20 open) | 64% (7 of 11 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=21 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0% | 95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39% | 100% of 151 at avg 52¢, ROI +47% | 100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 11% of 287) | 11% (won 69% of 36) | 6% (won 100% of 9) | 1% (won 100% of 3) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 50% of 452) | 35% (won 97% of 116) | 42% (won 100% of 63) | 26% (won 100% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 68% of 546) | 37% (won 99% of 124) | 40% (won 100% of 61) | 40% (won 100% of 95) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 93% of 588) | 17% (won 100% of 56) | 12% (won 100% of 18) | 33% (won 100% of 80) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Heat (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Heat $48K | — | Jazz $18K | — |
| Knoxville: Lui Maxted vs Hynek Barton opposite sides · consensus Hynek Barton | — | — | Lui Maxted $84 | Hynek Barton $3.2K |
| Hersonissos 3: Radu Mihai Papoe vs Philip Henning opposite sides · consensus Philip Henning | — | — | Radu Mihai Papoe $349 | Philip Henning $500 |
| Lima: Daniel Rincon vs Santiago De La Fuente same side · consensus Daniel Rincon | — | — | Daniel Rincon $15K | Daniel Rincon $10K |
| Hersonissos 3: Carlo Alberto Caniato vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly same side · consensus Carlo Alberto Caniato | — | — | Gilles Arnaud Bailly $106 | Gilles Arnaud Bailly $687 |