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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | donube | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4535–3309, n=7844) | 45% (572–710, n=1282) | 70% (712–304, n=1016) | 63% (990–573, n=1563) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.0M | $7.9M | $1.1M | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #191 + pinned | PM monthly #92 |
| Sides with the consensus | 64% (14 of 22 open) | 85% (23 of 27 open) | 79% (135 of 170 open) | 73% (54 of 74 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=136 | — | Mentions −13 pts, n=20 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7119 at avg 55¢, ROI +1% | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 71% of 918 at avg 70¢, ROI +4% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1182) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 22% (won 6% of 202) | 13% (won 15% of 168) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1743) | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 5% (won 43% of 49) | 20% (won 39% of 256) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2080) | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 6% (won 53% of 55) | 24% (won 58% of 314) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2114) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 67% (won 96% of 612) | 43% (won 93% of 550) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | donube | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $45 | No $68K | Yes $21K | — |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.5K | Yes $50K | No $198 | — |
| Spread: Warriors (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | Heat $267 | Warriors $3.5K | — | — |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | — | No $407K | — | No $335K |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? same side · consensus No | No $172K | — | No $47K | — |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $10 | No $53K |
| Heat vs. Warriors same side · consensus Warriors | Warriors $28K | Warriors $821 | — | — |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus No | No $4.5K | No $2.4K | — | — |