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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | crmannetje | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4535–3309, n=7844) | 45% (572–710, n=1282) | 52% (23–21, n=44) | 47% (14165–15679, n=29844) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.0M | $7.9M | $38K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #14 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #492 | PM monthly #31 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 65% (17 of 26 open) | 77% (27 of 35 open) | 67% (2 of 3 open) | 56% (44 of 79 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=136 | — | Soccer −18 pts, n=17 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7119 at avg 55¢, ROI +1% | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 59% of 41 at avg 47¢, ROI +20% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1182) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 27% (won 27% of 11) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1743) | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 24% (won 60% of 10) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2080) | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 37% (won 67% of 15) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2114) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 12% (won 100% of 5) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | crmannetje | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaguars vs. Ravens opposite sides · consensus Jaguars | Ravens $36K | Ravens $292K | — | Jaguars $8.2K |
| Spread: Jaguars (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | Ravens $29K | Ravens $194K | — | Jaguars $2.0K |
| Spread: Jaguars (-8.5) same side · consensus Ravens | Ravens $15K | Ravens $293 | — | Ravens $636 |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.5K | Yes $55K | — | — |
| Spread: UTSA (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Florida Atlantic | UTSA $4.0K | — | — | Florida Atlantic $775 |
| Spread: Jaguars (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | — | Ravens $837 | — | Jaguars $2.9K |
| Spread: Jaguars (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | — | Ravens $1.1K | — | Jaguars $180 |
| Spread: Jaguars (-10.5) same side · consensus Ravens | — | Ravens $92K | — | Ravens $3.3K |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus Yes | No $45 | No $72K | — | — |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus No | No $4.5K | No $2.4K | — | — |
| Spread: Warriors (-3.5) same side · consensus Heat | — | Warriors $2.0K | — | Warriors $520 |