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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankMSKW22222RN1
Record (consensus markets)57% (4474–3357, n=7831)46% (560–667, n=1227)no settled market47% (13371–14881, n=28252)
Consensus PnL$8.9M$9.4M—$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #344PM monthly #2PM monthly #863PM monthly #26 + pinned
Sides with the consensus60% (15 of 25 open)60% (15 of 25 open)67% (2 of 3 open)63% (182 of 291 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
not computed yet
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134———
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%—94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)11% (won 80% of 61)—10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)35% (won 98% of 203)—22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)35% (won 100% of 201)—36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)20% (won 100% of 115)—33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankMSKW22222RN1
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $96KNo $327K—Yes $47K
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1.6KNo $3.2K—No $6.5K
Will AEK win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $270KNo $651K—No $6.5K
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $64K—Yes $31K
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $56K—No $148
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $3.5K——No $1.5K
RB Leipzig vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $980——Over $205
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $69KYes $60K—
Exact Score: SK Slavia Praha 0 - 1 Arsenal FC?
same side · consensus No
No $87K——No $4.4K
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $4.8K——No $9.4K
Will PSV win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $315——No $8.4K
Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $248——Under $371
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $194——Over $81