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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | J-E-R | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 55% (4842–4042, n=8884) | 41% (589–853, n=1442) | 44% (159–201, n=360) | 48% (19424–21150, n=40574) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.2M | $8.4M | $37K | $14.9M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #418 | PM monthly #32 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (10 of 20 open) | 88% (29 of 33 open) | 86% (62 of 72 open) | 56% (18 of 32 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=136 | — | Elections −1 pts, n=78 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7152 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 28% of 378 at avg 27¢, ROI 0% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1182) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 70% (won 4% of 263) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 25% (won 46% of 1753) | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 4% (won 53% of 15) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2092) | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 6% (won 70% of 23) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2125) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 20% (won 92% of 77) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | J-E-R | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus No | No $4.5K | No $2.4K | No $22 | — |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.5K | Yes $18K | — | — |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? same side · consensus No | No $178K | — | No $24 | — |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $73K | Yes $2.2K | — |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus Yes | No $20 | No $32K | — | — |
| USC Trojans vs. Wichita State Shockers same side · consensus USC Trojans | USC Trojans $384 | — | — | USC Trojans $2.4K |
| UT Arlington Mavericks vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriors same side · consensus Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | Hawaii Rainbow Warriors $54 | — | — | Hawaii Rainbow Warriors $659 |