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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | Hawk.live | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (4487–3372, n=7859) | 45% (571–700, n=1271) | 55% (295–239, n=534) | 47% (13369–14864, n=28233) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.9M | $9.4M | $20K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #90 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #958 | PM monthly #29 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 66% (19 of 29 open) | 59% (17 of 29 open) | no open consensus position | 58% (143 of 246 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | — | Esports ±0 pts, n=514 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 520 at avg 56¢, ROI −3% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 23% (won 4% of 121) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 15% (won 28% of 79) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 25% (won 68% of 128) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 37% (won 92% of 192) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | Hawk.live | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Celtics (-12.5) opposite sides · consensus Celtics | Celtics $1.3K | Celtics $880 | — | Bucks $765 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | Pacers $6 | Grizzlies $218K | — | — |
| 76ers vs. Pistons opposite sides · consensus Pistons | 76ers $90K | Pistons $90K | — | — |
| Spread: Pelicans (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | — | Jazz $30K | — | Pelicans $125 |
| Spread: Pelicans (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | — | Jazz $19K | — | Pelicans $135 |
| Spread: Lakers (-11.5) opposite sides · consensus Kings | Kings $9.7K | — | — | Lakers $3 |
| 76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $82 | — | — | Under $830 |
| Spread: Pelicans (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | — | Jazz $323 | — | Pelicans $143 |
| Spread: Central Michigan (-3.5) same side · consensus Central Michigan | Central Michigan $26K | — | — | Central Michigan $1.1K |
| Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan same side · consensus Central Michigan | Central Michigan $902 | — | — | Central Michigan $12K |
| Spread: Nuggets (-4.5) same side · consensus Raptors | Raptors $6.6K | — | — | Raptors $275 |
| Spread: UMass (-3.5) same side · consensus UMass | UMass $389 | — | — | UMass $2.4K |
| Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $283 | — | — | Under $428 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5) same side · consensus Pacers | — | Grizzlies $357 | — | Grizzlies $123 |
| 76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $54 | — | — | Over $27 |