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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankFlaznorpMSKW22222
Record (consensus markets)57% (4473–3354, n=7827)46% (560–666, n=1226)53% (5927–5304, n=11231)no settled market
Consensus PnL$8.9M$11.2M$3.3M—
Tracked aswas PM monthly #344PM monthly #2PM monthly #21PM monthly #850
Sides with the consensus60% (12 of 20 open)55% (12 of 22 open)63% (262 of 413 open)67% (2 of 3 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
not computed yet
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%—
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 423)—
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 243)—
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)35% (won 100% of 201)17% (won 62% of 255)—
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)20% (won 100% of 115)38% (won 94% of 561)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

9 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankFlaznorpMSKW22222
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $63KYes $84K—
Spread: Celtics (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
Celtics $436—Bucks $251—
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $74KNo $300K——
Exact Score: SK Slavia Praha 0 - 1 Arsenal FC?
same side · consensus No
No $86K—No $100K—
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $17K—Yes $60K
Rolex Paris Masters: Matteo Berrettini vs Ugo Humbert
same side · consensus Matteo Berrettini
Matteo Berrettini $22K—Matteo Berrettini $7.9K—
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $5.1K—No $23K—
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $11K—No $15K—
Cali: Laura Samson vs Carole Monnet
same side · consensus Laura Samson
Laura Samson $5.4K—Laura Samson $596—
Will PSV win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus Yes
No $318—No $5.6K—
Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $251—Under $40—