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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | Better-Man | BreakTheBank | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4537–3326, n=7863) | 72% (308–121, n=429) | 45% (576–717, n=1293) | 48% (14153–15617, n=29770) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.7M | $67K | $7.3M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #19 | was PM monthly #633 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #30 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 60% (15 of 25 open) | 97% (34 of 35 open) | 88% (22 of 25 open) | 51% (79 of 156 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=136 | Elections −4 pts, n=101 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7133 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 66% of 437 at avg 62¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1182) | 29% (won 9% of 126) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 10% (won 57% of 2588) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1746) | 6% (won 23% of 26) | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 22% (won 94% of 5673) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2085) | 8% (won 82% of 33) | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 35% (won 99% of 9163) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2120) | 58% (won 97% of 252) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 33% (won 100% of 8536) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | Better-Man | BreakTheBank | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Carlos Alcaraz opposite sides · consensus Carlos Alcaraz | Carlos Alcaraz $107K | — | — | Taylor Fritz $24K |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.5K | — | Yes $22K | — |
| Oxford City FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $12K | — | — | Under $9 |
| Oxford City FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $7.6K | — | — | Under $25 |
| Will Wolfsberger AC win on 2026-11-06? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $2.1K | — | — | No $3.7K |
| Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-11-06? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $194 | — | — | No $1.8K |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $4.8K | Yes $78K | — |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus Yes | No $31 | — | No $35K | — |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus No | No $4.4K | — | No $2.3K | — |
| Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-11-06? same side · consensus No | No $1.7K | — | — | No $5 |