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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BABELCONSTEL | Flaznorp | joseph00677 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 44% (47–59, n=106) | no settled market | 75% (677–224, n=901) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | -$550K | — | $34K | — |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #422 | PM monthly #14 | PM monthly #6 |
| Sides with the consensus | 82% (9 of 11 open) | no open consensus position | 63% (77 of 123 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=21 | Geopolitics −9 pts, n=14 | Soccer −8 pts, n=40 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0% | 83% of 187 at avg 72¢, ROI +8% | 44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23% | 62% of 13 at avg 59¢, ROI +33% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 11% of 287) | 11% (won 5% of 20) | 34% (won 10% of 30) | 8% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 50% of 452) | 11% (won 65% of 20) | 19% (won 29% of 17) | 8% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 68% of 546) | 12% (won 86% of 22) | 13% (won 55% of 11) | 69% (won 67% of 9) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 93% of 588) | 67% (won 98% of 125) | 34% (won 83% of 30) | 15% (won 100% of 2) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BABELCONSTEL | Flaznorp | joseph00677 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Magic (-11.5) opposite sides · consensus Kings | Kings $12K | — | Magic $819 | — |
| Spread: Thunder (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Thunder | Thunder $2.0K | — | Trail Blazers $2.7K | — |
| Spread: Magic (-5.5) same side · consensus Magic | Magic $117K | — | Magic $885 | — |
| Magic vs. Kings same side · consensus Magic | Magic $12K | — | Magic $28K | — |
| Spread: Magic (-7.5) same side · consensus Kings | Kings $6.9K | — | Kings $2.0K | — |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A same side · consensus Team Falcons | Team Falcons $1.0K | — | Team Falcons $9 | — |