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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-17599357954658m1RN1S-Works
Record (consensus markets)54% (4949–4167, n=9116)no settled market48% (19699–21461, n=41160)75% (2552–856, n=3408)
Consensus PnL$8.5M$133$14.9M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #9PM monthly #40PM monthly #35 + pinnedPM monthly #67
Sides with the consensus50% (10 of 20 open)57% (17 of 30 open)51% (21 of 41 open)0% (0 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +10 pts n=467, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2316, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1408, ROI +4%
not computed yet
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136——Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won59% of 7152 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%—94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)—10% (won 57% of 2594)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 46% of 1753)—22% (won 94% of 5704)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2092)—35% (won 99% of 9204)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2125)—33% (won 100% of 8622)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-17599357954658m1RN1S-Works
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $136K—No $2.4M
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $6.2KNo $354——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $54Over $3.0K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $765Over $1.8K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $2No $2.4K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $257Yes $1.9K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $5Under $1.4K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $19No $524—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $20Over $36—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $47Yes $7—
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $5Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $5Under $1.1K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $21Over $360—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $10Yes $240—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $24Under $20—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2Under $41—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—