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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| 0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872 | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 66% (3087–1602, n=4689) | 63% (989–572, n=1561) | 48% (14109–15586, n=29695) |
| Consensus PnL | $212K | $3.2M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #528 | PM monthly #104 | PM monthly #28 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 73% (11 of 15 open) | 72% (69 of 96 open) | 61% (94 of 154 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 1734 at avg 76¢, ROI +25% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 100% of 58) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 9% (won 100% of 159) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 21% (won 100% of 361) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 67% (won 100% of 1156) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872 | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $1.6K | — | Over $1.6K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.2K | — | Yes $1.9K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $1.5K | — | Over $1.5K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2.7K | — | Over $36 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $414 | — | No $529 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club | Athletic Club $775 | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | No $8 | — | No $2.5K |
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $393 | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $439 | — | Under $1.1K |