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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872 | joseph00677 | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 66% (2903–1518, n=4421) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 65% (892–472, n=1364) | 47% (13369–14864, n=28233) |
| Consensus PnL | $193K | $5.6M | $4.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #528 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #99 | PM monthly #28 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 72% (26 of 36 open) | no open consensus position | 78% (39 of 50 open) | 62% (69 of 111 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 1734 at avg 76¢, ROI +25% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 100% of 58) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 9% (won 100% of 159) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 21% (won 100% of 361) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 67% (won 100% of 1156) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872 | joseph00677 | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2.6K | — | — | Over $1.5K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | No $326 | — | — | Yes $3.1K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $567 | — | — | Over $2.4K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $1.1K | — | — | Over $1.5K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2.1K | — | — | Over $35 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $981 | — | — | No $529 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club | Athletic Club $760 | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $269 | — | — | Over $382 |
| Spread: Spurs (-12.5) opposite sides · consensus Spurs | Mavericks $3 | — | — | Spurs $183 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | No $74 | — | — | Yes $7 |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | No $1.2K | — | — | No $2.4K |
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $227 | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $432 | — | — | Under $1.1K |
| Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $424 | — | — | Over $130 |