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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872 | BreakTheBank | juice-fruit | robustmst | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 76% (403–127, n=530) | 68% (17–8, n=25) | 100% (1–0, n=1) | 42% (13–18, n=31) |
| Consensus PnL | $63K | $884K | $152K | $208K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #565 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #32 | PM monthly #29 |
| Sides with the consensus | 79% (49 of 62 open) | 29% (4 of 14 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 56 at avg 76¢, ROI +23% | 95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39% | 100% of 48 at avg 59¢, ROI +40% | 82% of 55 at avg 47¢, ROI +32% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 2% (won 100% of 1) | 11% (won 69% of 36) | 2% (won 100% of 1) | 2% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 13% (won 100% of 7) | 35% (won 97% of 116) | 25% (won 100% of 12) | 65% (won 78% of 36) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 21% (won 100% of 12) | 37% (won 99% of 124) | 44% (won 100% of 21) | 29% (won 94% of 16) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 64% (won 100% of 36) | 17% (won 100% of 56) | 29% (won 100% of 14) | 4% (won 50% of 2) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872 | BreakTheBank | juice-fruit | robustmst |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Magic (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | Magic $6.3K | Kings $8.0K | — | — |
| Spread: Magic (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | Magic $5.1K | Kings $5.5K | — | — |
| Spread: Magic (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | Magic $4.2K | Kings $84 | — | — |
| Spread: Magic (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | Magic $2.8K | Kings $620 | — | — |
| Spread: Magic (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | Magic $906 | Kings $249 | — | — |
| Spread: Thunder (-2.5) same side · consensus Trail Blazers | Trail Blazers $1.1K | Trail Blazers $36K | — | — |