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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x1bc2900db79077f14d294dd24552020dfbe73391-1793687708604 | BreakTheBank | fantasy7788 | Flaznorp | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (1–1, n=2) | 60% (12–8, n=20) | 100% (2–0, n=2) | 75% (633–207, n=840) |
| Consensus PnL | -$4.2K | $779K | $245K | $24K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #362 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #83 | PM monthly #14 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 33% (6 of 18 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) | 59% (120 of 205 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled | none with 10+ settled | none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | Soccer −8 pts, n=40 |
| Settled positions, side won | 50% of 2 at avg 51¢, ROI −34% | 95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39% | 100% of 2 at avg 51¢, ROI +50% | 44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 50% (won 0% of 1) | 11% (won 69% of 36) | 0% | 34% (won 10% of 30) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 0% | 35% (won 97% of 116) | 50% (won 100% of 1) | 19% (won 29% of 17) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 0% | 37% (won 99% of 124) | 50% (won 100% of 1) | 13% (won 55% of 11) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 50% (won 100% of 1) | 17% (won 100% of 56) | 0% | 34% (won 83% of 30) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x1bc2900db79077f14d294dd24552020dfbe73391-1793687708604 | BreakTheBank | fantasy7788 | Flaznorp |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clippers vs. Suns opposite sides · consensus Suns | — | Clippers $2 | — | Suns $31K |
| Spread: Magic (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | — | Kings $4.5K | — | Magic $1.8K |
| Spread: Magic (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | — | Kings $3.5K | — | Magic $34 |
| Spread: Suns (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Suns | — | Clippers $2.0K | — | Suns $848 |
| Spread: Suns (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Suns | — | Clippers $311 | — | Suns $345 |
| Thunder vs. Trail Blazers same side · consensus Trail Blazers | Trail Blazers $212K | Trail Blazers $2.9K | — | — |
| Spread: Magic (-1.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Kings $138 | — | Kings $40 |