PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
sosedkaBreakTheBankomnibus-076daaRN1
Record (consensus markets)0% (0–1, n=1)45% (503–616, n=1119)50% (13500–13645, n=27145)48% (11959–12793, n=24752)
Consensus PnL-$1.2K$11.1M$3.5M$13.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #992PM monthly #1PM monthly #15PM monthly #17 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position65% (31 of 48 open)57% (17 of 30 open)57% (31 of 54 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=121, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=72, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=276, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—97% of 515 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%91% of 10208 at avg 60¢, ROI +31%94% of 23969 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 85% of 53)8% (won 58% of 840)10% (won 56% of 2478)
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 98% of 181)21% (won 86% of 2168)22% (won 94% of 5361)
Entries 50–70¢—34% (won 99% of 176)38% (won 94% of 3916)36% (won 99% of 8705)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 105)32% (won 99% of 3284)31% (won 100% of 7425)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketsosedkaBreakTheBankomnibus-076daaRN1
Warriors vs. Timberwolves
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
—Warriors $102KTimberwolves $1.1K—
Thunder vs. Mavericks
opposite sides · consensus Thunder
—Mavericks $24KThunder $1.2K—
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $253Under $1.2K
EC Bahia vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $103Over $1.1K
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)
same side · consensus Thunder
—Mavericks $37K—Mavericks $405
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays
same side · consensus Milwaukee Brewers
——Milwaukee Brewers $728Milwaukee Brewers $5.4K