PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
sainttroplayCORGIIomnibus-076daa0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241
Record (consensus markets)71% (10–4, n=14)63% (375–222, n=597)50% (13205–13344, n=26549)56% (100–79, n=179)
Consensus PnL$4.4M$4.4M$3.4M$3.5M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #11PM monthly #126PM monthly #17was PM monthly #373
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position25% (1 of 4 open)49% (17 of 35 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%98% of 379 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%91% of 10074 at avg 60¢, ROI +31%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%
Entries under 30¢0%9% (won 91% of 35)8% (won 58% of 836)7% (won 75% of 8)
Entries 30–50¢50% (won 100% of 5)55% (won 99% of 209)21% (won 85% of 2140)26% (won 93% of 29)
Entries 50–70¢50% (won 100% of 5)34% (won 100% of 128)38% (won 94% of 3856)42% (won 96% of 47)
Entries 70¢ and up0%2% (won 100% of 7)32% (won 99% of 3242)24% (won 96% of 27)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketsainttroplayCORGIIomnibus-076daa0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage
opposite sides · consensus Spirit
—MOUZ $33KSpirit $28K—
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner
opposite sides · consensus Spirit
—MOUZ $12KSpirit $227—
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TYLOO (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage
opposite sides · consensus FURIA
—TYLOO $4.0KFURIA $103—
Counter-Strike: Envy vs GamerLegion (BO3) - Tesla Cup Group B
same side · consensus Envy
—Envy $11KEnvy $9—