PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
sainttroplay0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241omnibus-076daaCORGII
Record (consensus markets)71% (10–4, n=14)56% (100–79, n=179)50% (13205–13344, n=26549)63% (375–222, n=597)
Consensus PnL$4.4M$3.5M$3.4M$4.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #11was PM monthly #373PM monthly #17PM monthly #126
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position53% (20 of 38 open)25% (1 of 4 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%91% of 10074 at avg 60¢, ROI +31%98% of 379 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢0%7% (won 75% of 8)8% (won 58% of 836)9% (won 91% of 35)
Entries 30–50¢50% (won 100% of 5)26% (won 93% of 29)21% (won 85% of 2140)55% (won 99% of 209)
Entries 50–70¢50% (won 100% of 5)42% (won 96% of 47)38% (won 94% of 3856)34% (won 100% of 128)
Entries 70¢ and up0%24% (won 96% of 27)32% (won 99% of 3242)2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketsainttroplay0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241omnibus-076daaCORGII
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage
opposite sides · consensus Spirit
——Spirit $28KMOUZ $33K
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner
opposite sides · consensus Spirit
——Spirit $227MOUZ $12K
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TYLOO (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage
opposite sides · consensus FURIA
——FURIA $103TYLOO $4.0K
Counter-Strike: Envy vs GamerLegion (BO3) - Tesla Cup Group B
same side · consensus Envy
——Envy $9Envy $11K