PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
sainttroplay00gringo00RN1omnibus-076daa
Record (consensus markets)71% (10–4, n=14)75% (6–2, n=8)48% (11709–12487, n=24196)50% (13205–13344, n=26549)
Consensus PnL$4.4M$3.5M$13.4M$3.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #11was PM monthly #19Hand-pickedPM monthly #17
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position67% (18 of 27 open)50% (19 of 38 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%94% of 23809 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%91% of 10074 at avg 60¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢0%0%10% (won 56% of 2460)8% (won 58% of 836)
Entries 30–50¢50% (won 100% of 5)0%22% (won 94% of 5335)21% (won 85% of 2140)
Entries 50–70¢50% (won 100% of 5)100% (won 86% of 7)36% (won 99% of 8653)38% (won 94% of 3856)
Entries 70¢ and up0%0%31% (won 100% of 7361)32% (won 99% of 3242)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketsainttroplay00gringo00RN1omnibus-076daa
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner
opposite sides · consensus MOUZ
——MOUZ $40KSpirit $227
Swiss Indoors Basel: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Arthur Fils
opposite sides · consensus Arthur Fils
——Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard $302Arthur Fils $7.7K
Courmayeur: Gaia Maduzzi vs Linda Klimovicova
opposite sides · consensus Linda Klimovicova
——Linda Klimovicova $418Gaia Maduzzi $140
Courmayeur: Mia Ristic vs Martyna Kubka
opposite sides · consensus Martyna Kubka
——Martyna Kubka $109Mia Ristic $2
Curitiba: Julia Riera vs Rebeka Masarova
same side · consensus Rebeka Masarova
——Rebeka Masarova $15KRebeka Masarova $54
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)
same side · consensus MOUZ
——MOUZ $4.9KMOUZ $4