Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
little-jerkprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market50% (1244–1255, n=2499)48% (17933–19364, n=37297)
Consensus PnL—$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #715PM monthly #56PM monthly #34 + pinned
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)65% (11 of 17 open)57% (66 of 115 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won—99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢—41% (won 99% of 421)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢—49% (won 99% of 508)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up—5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketlittle-jerkprimmRN1
Spread: Lions (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lions
—Lions $11KDolphins $2.3K
Cowboys vs. Colts
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Colts $5.1KCowboys $1.5K
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $296—No $55K
Lions vs. Dolphins
same side · consensus Lions
—Lions $47KLions $2.1K
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 38.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $9.7KOver $1.2K
Spread: Lions (-6.5)
same side · consensus Lions
—Lions $3.3KLions $1.4K
Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 46.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $797Under $3.5K