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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
keeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99VirIntrepidus
Record (consensus markets)48% (483–517, n=1000)55% (372–304, n=676)33% (1–2, n=3)
Consensus PnL$455K$436K-$5.0K
Tracked asPM monthly #21PM monthly #89PM monthly #463
Sides with the consensus53% (9 of 17 open)50% (37 of 74 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +21 pts n=68, ROI +6%
  • NBA +11 pts n=259, ROI +11%
  • Soccer +14 pts n=53, ROI +28%
not computed yet
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won100% of 301 at avg 51¢, ROI +44%66% of 520 at avg 53¢, ROI +5%—
Entries under 30¢6% (won 100% of 19)14% (won 33% of 73)—
Entries 30–50¢37% (won 100% of 110)24% (won 56% of 125)—
Entries 50–70¢50% (won 100% of 150)43% (won 69% of 226)—
Entries 70¢ and up7% (won 100% of 22)18% (won 98% of 96)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketkeeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99VirIntrepidus
Houston vs. Colorado
opposite sides · consensus Colorado
Houston $5.7KColorado $2.5K—
Spread: Houston (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Houston
Colorado $3.6KHouston $547—
Spread: Houston (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Houston
Colorado $871Houston $3.0K—
Nebraska vs. Rutgers: O/U 51.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $3.4KUnder $202—
Nuggets vs. Pelicans
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
—Pelicans $93Nuggets $630
Spread: Houston (-9.5)
same side · consensus Colorado
Houston $31Houston $4.4K—