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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| joseph00677 | primm | Raichu | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 50% (1082–1097, n=2179) | 92% (11–1, n=12) | 47% (13369–14864, n=28233) |
| Consensus PnL | $5.6M | $3.6M | $214K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #51 | PM monthly #438 | PM monthly #29 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 66% (25 of 38 open) | no open consensus position | 60% (234 of 390 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled |
|
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 92% of 12 at avg 86¢, ROI +15% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 0% | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 41% (won 99% of 405) | 0% | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 49% (won 99% of 485) | 0% | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 5% (won 100% of 46) | 100% (won 92% of 12) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
8 on the same side, 19 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | joseph00677 | primm | Raichu | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan | — | Eastern Michigan $417 | — | Central Michigan $12K |
| Spread: UMass (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Ball State | — | Ball State $2.5K | — | UMass $1.0K |
| Spread: Toledo (-27.5) opposite sides · consensus Toledo | — | Toledo $2.2K | — | Sacramento State $800 |
| Spread: Toledo (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Toledo | — | Sacramento State $80 | — | Toledo $2.9K |
| Toledo vs. Sacramento State: O/U 49.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $797 | — | Over $2.1K |
| Toledo vs. Sacramento State: O/U 53.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $2.5K | — | Under $3 |
| Spread: Toledo (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State | — | Toledo $1.7K | — | Sacramento State $765 |
| Spread: Central Michigan (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Eastern Michigan | — | Eastern Michigan $1.4K | — | Central Michigan $815 |
| Spread: Toledo (-17.5) opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State | — | Toledo $298 | — | Sacramento State $1.4K |
| Spread: Central Michigan (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan | — | Eastern Michigan $984 | — | Central Michigan $583 |
| Spread: Toledo (-26.5) opposite sides · consensus Toledo | — | Toledo $1.0K | — | Sacramento State $463 |
| Spread: UMass (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Ball State | — | Ball State $900 | — | UMass $374 |
| Ball State vs. UMass: O/U 37.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $924 | — | Under $298 |
| Spread: UMass (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Ball State | — | Ball State $480 | — | UMass $457 |
| Spread: Toledo (-30.5) opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State | — | Toledo $243 | — | Sacramento State $462 |
| Spread: Toledo (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State | — | Toledo $142 | — | Sacramento State $181 |
| Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan: O/U 37.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $205 | — | Over $52 |
| Spread: Eastern Michigan (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Eastern Michigan | — | Eastern Michigan $161 | — | Central Michigan $49 |
| Spread: Central Michigan (-13.5) opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan | — | Central Michigan $6 | — | Eastern Michigan $4 |
| Spread: Ball State (-2.5) same side · consensus UMass | — | UMass $3.0K | — | UMass $804 |
| Toledo vs. Sacramento State: O/U 51.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $2.6K | — | Over $179 |
| Spread: Toledo (-13.5) same side · consensus Sacramento State | — | Toledo $2.0K | — | Toledo $676 |
| Spread: Toledo (-33.5) same side · consensus Sacramento State | — | Toledo $1.5K | — | Toledo $377 |
| Spread: Toledo (-20.5) same side · consensus Toledo | — | Toledo $438 | — | Toledo $773 |
| Spread: Toledo (-23.5) same side · consensus Toledo | — | Toledo $176 | — | Toledo $429 |
| Spread: Toledo (-9.5) same side · consensus Toledo | — | Toledo $2 | — | Toledo $582 |
| Toledo vs. Sacramento State: O/U 37.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $182 | — | Under $11 |