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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| joseph00677 | primm | RN1 | scrapbook | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 50% (1082–1097, n=2179) | 47% (13369–14864, n=28233) | 54% (156–133, n=289) |
| Consensus PnL | $5.6M | $3.6M | $14.8M | -$9.6K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #48 | PM monthly #30 + pinned | PM monthly #982 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 67% (24 of 36 open) | 61% (231 of 378 open) | 67% (2 of 3 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | Economy −8 pts, n=32 |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 47% of 331 at avg 41¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) | 38% (won 13% of 127) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 41% (won 99% of 405) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) | 18% (won 48% of 61) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 49% (won 99% of 485) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) | 27% (won 66% of 89) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 5% (won 100% of 46) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) | 16% (won 91% of 54) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 16 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | joseph00677 | primm | RN1 | scrapbook |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan | — | Eastern Michigan $417 | Central Michigan $12K | — |
| Spread: UMass (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Ball State | — | Ball State $3.4K | UMass $700 | — |
| Spread: Toledo (-27.5) opposite sides · consensus Toledo | — | Toledo $2.2K | Sacramento State $800 | — |
| Toledo vs. Sacramento State: O/U 49.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $797 | Over $2.1K | — |
| Toledo vs. Sacramento State: O/U 53.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $2.5K | Under $3 | — |
| Spread: Toledo (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State | — | Toledo $1.7K | Sacramento State $765 | — |
| Spread: Central Michigan (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Eastern Michigan | — | Eastern Michigan $1.4K | Central Michigan $864 | — |
| Spread: UMass (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Ball State | — | Ball State $900 | UMass $845 | — |
| Spread: Central Michigan (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan | — | Eastern Michigan $984 | Central Michigan $513 | — |
| Spread: Toledo (-26.5) opposite sides · consensus Toledo | — | Toledo $1.0K | Sacramento State $463 | — |
| Ball State vs. UMass: O/U 37.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $924 | Under $298 | — |
| Spread: Toledo (-30.5) opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State | — | Toledo $243 | Sacramento State $462 | — |
| Spread: Toledo (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State | — | Toledo $165 | Sacramento State $181 | — |
| Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan: O/U 37.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $213 | Over $52 | — |
| Spread: Eastern Michigan (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Eastern Michigan | — | Eastern Michigan $161 | Central Michigan $49 | — |
| Spread: Central Michigan (-13.5) opposite sides · consensus Eastern Michigan | — | Central Michigan $6 | Eastern Michigan $4 | — |
| Spread: Ball State (-2.5) same side · consensus UMass | — | UMass $2.7K | UMass $804 | — |
| Toledo vs. Sacramento State: O/U 51.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $2.6K | Over $179 | — |
| Spread: Toledo (-13.5) same side · consensus Sacramento State | — | Toledo $1.5K | Toledo $519 | — |
| Spread: Toledo (-33.5) same side · consensus Sacramento State | — | Toledo $1.5K | Toledo $377 | — |
| Spread: Toledo (-20.5) same side · consensus Toledo | — | Toledo $438 | Toledo $773 | — |
| Spread: Toledo (-23.5) same side · consensus Toledo | — | Toledo $176 | Toledo $429 | — |
| Spread: Toledo (-9.5) same side · consensus Toledo | — | Toledo $2 | Toledo $531 | — |