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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
joseph00677omnibus-076daaRN1wpj
Record (consensus markets)53% (10–9, n=19)50% (14961–15011, n=29972)47% (13283–14790, n=28073)39% (12–19, n=31)
Consensus PnL$5.6M$3.0M$14.8M$28K
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #60PM monthly #23 + pinnedPM monthly #999
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position58% (81 of 139 open)42% (14 of 33 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%92% of 11470 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%37% of 27 at avg 41¢, ROI −4%
Entries under 30¢12% (won 0% of 2)8% (won 60% of 899)10% (won 57% of 2606)37% (won 0% of 10)
Entries 30–50¢6% (won 0% of 1)21% (won 87% of 2444)22% (won 94% of 5665)22% (won 33% of 6)
Entries 50–70¢65% (won 73% of 11)39% (won 95% of 4418)36% (won 99% of 9185)19% (won 60% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up18% (won 67% of 3)32% (won 99% of 3709)32% (won 100% of 8345)22% (won 83% of 6)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketjoseph00677omnibus-076daaRN1wpj
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.6KOver $941—
W100 Incheon: Sohyun Park vs Yujia Huang
opposite sides · consensus Yujia Huang
—Sohyun Park $13Yujia Huang $2.1K—
Will CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $65No $1.5K—
Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $73No $662—
W100 Incheon: Yuki Naito vs Sara Saito
opposite sides · consensus Sara Saito
—Yuki Naito $9Sara Saito $225—
W35 Hamamatsu: Haruna Arakawa vs Yuzuha Negishi
opposite sides · consensus Haruna Arakawa
—Haruna Arakawa $36Yuzuha Negishi $105—
W50 Heraklion: Antonia Stoyanov vs Alisa Oktiabreva
opposite sides · consensus Alisa Oktiabreva
—Alisa Oktiabreva $65Antonia Stoyanov $11—
W100 Incheon: Naho Sato vs Jia-Jing Lu
opposite sides · consensus Jia-Jing Lu
—Naho Sato $41Jia-Jing Lu $15—
W100 Incheon: Katie Swan vs Aoi Ito
same side · consensus Katie Swan
—Aoi Ito $40Aoi Ito $40—