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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| joseph00677 | Novelty8 | primm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 43% (10–13, n=23) | 73% (633–230, n=863) | 50% (1248–1260, n=2508) | 48% (17936–19365, n=37301) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.3M | -$69K | $3.6M | $14.9M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #8 | PM monthly #745 | PM monthly #48 | PM monthly #28 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 50% (1 of 2 open) | 55% (6 of 11 open) | 51% (37 of 72 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 100% of 463 at avg 88¢, ROI +4% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 1% (won 100% of 5) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 9% (won 98% of 41) | 41% (won 99% of 421) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 11% (won 100% of 51) | 49% (won 99% of 508) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 79% (won 100% of 366) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | joseph00677 | Novelty8 | primm | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardinals vs. Seahawks: O/U 42.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $9.1K | Over $3.4K |
| Spread: Seahawks (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Cardinals | — | — | Cardinals $1.6K | Seahawks $2.5K |
| Spread: Seahawks (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Seahawks | — | — | Cardinals $207 | Seahawks $2.4K |
| Packers vs. Patriots: O/U 46.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $803 | Over $1.8K |
| Packers vs. Patriots same side · consensus Packers | — | — | Packers $76K | Packers $4.0K |