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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| joseph00677 | Multicoloured-Serf | primm | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 47% (309–350, n=659) | 49% (1129–1155, n=2284) | 50% (20622–20404, n=41026) |
| Consensus PnL | $5.3M | -$737K | $3.6M | $3.1M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #74 | PM monthly #50 | PM monthly #8 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 74% (26 of 35 open) | 75% (3 of 4 open) | 70% (31 of 44 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 100% of 258 at avg 52¢, ROI +50% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 100% of 39731 at avg 67¢, ROI +36% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 1% (won 100% of 2) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 7% (won 99% of 2699) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 48% (won 100% of 123) | 41% (won 99% of 421) | 20% (won 100% of 7974) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 46% (won 100% of 119) | 49% (won 99% of 508) | 22% (won 100% of 8588) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 5% (won 100% of 14) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 52% (won 100% of 20470) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | joseph00677 | Multicoloured-Serf | primm | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cincinnati vs. Houston opposite sides · consensus Houston | — | Cincinnati $318 | Houston $19K | — |
| Cincinnati vs. Houston: O/U 61.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $7.0K | Under $88 | — |
| Clemson vs. Syracuse: O/U 49.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $138 | Under $2.0K | — |