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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| joseph00677 | Multicoloured-Serf | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 46% (278–327, n=605) | 50% (1116–1127, n=2243) |
| Consensus PnL | $5.3M | -$495K | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #45 | PM monthly #52 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 53% (8 of 15 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 100% of 250 at avg 51¢, ROI +50% | 99% of 1020 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 1% (won 100% of 2) | 5% (won 94% of 51) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 48% (won 100% of 120) | 41% (won 99% of 418) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 46% (won 100% of 115) | 49% (won 99% of 504) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 5% (won 100% of 13) | 5% (won 100% of 47) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | joseph00677 | Multicoloured-Serf | primm |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Nebraska (-4.5) same side · consensus Illinois | — | Nebraska $12K | Nebraska $2.0K |