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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| joseph00677 | Multicoloured-Serf | ndb1 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 47% (304–346, n=650) | 63% (993–578, n=1571) | 50% (1127–1147, n=2274) |
| Consensus PnL | $5.3M | -$717K | $4.8M | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #73 | PM monthly #94 | PM monthly #51 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 75% (27 of 36 open) | 70% (55 of 79 open) | 70% (14 of 20 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | NFL −9 pts, n=144 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 100% of 258 at avg 52¢, ROI +50% | 64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 99% of 1020 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 1% (won 100% of 2) | 13% (won 15% of 186) | 5% (won 94% of 51) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 48% (won 100% of 123) | 19% (won 39% of 267) | 41% (won 99% of 418) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 46% (won 100% of 119) | 23% (won 58% of 326) | 49% (won 99% of 504) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 5% (won 100% of 14) | 44% (won 94% of 619) | 5% (won 100% of 47) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | joseph00677 | Multicoloured-Serf | ndb1 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cincinnati vs. Houston opposite sides · consensus Houston | — | Cincinnati $318 | — | Houston $19K |
| TCU vs. Arizona same side · consensus TCU | — | TCU $254K | — | TCU $65K |
| Spread: Arizona (-6.5) same side · consensus TCU | — | TCU $70K | — | TCU $8.7K |
| Cincinnati vs. Houston: O/U 61.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $6.9K | — | Under $87 |
| Clemson vs. Syracuse: O/U 49.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $136 | — | Under $2.0K |