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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| joseph00677 | Multicoloured-Serf | primm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 47% (271–305, n=576) | 50% (1105–1116, n=2221) | 47% (14161–15670, n=29831) |
| Consensus PnL | $5.3M | -$154K | $3.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #28 | PM monthly #47 | PM monthly #32 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 60% (6 of 10 open) | 100% (3 of 3 open) | 52% (16 of 31 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 100% of 215 at avg 52¢, ROI +51% | 99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 0% (won 100% of 1) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 47% (won 100% of 100) | 41% (won 99% of 412) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 47% (won 100% of 101) | 50% (won 99% of 503) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 6% (won 100% of 13) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | joseph00677 | Multicoloured-Serf | primm | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Warriors (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | — | Heat $15K | — | Warriors $510 |
| Spread: James Madison (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus James Madison | — | Southern Miss $303 | James Madison $1.6K | — |
| Spread: Warriors (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | — | Heat $122 | — | Warriors $108 |
| Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 236.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $727 | — | Under $245 |