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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
googleplaynigiri99robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18wata33-ts
Record (consensus markets)50% (6–6, n=12)54% (345–290, n=635)59% (40–28, n=68)no settled market
Consensus PnL$423K$403K$532K—
Tracked asPM monthly #20PM monthly #105PM monthly #15 + pinnedPM monthly #825
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 1 open)55% (64 of 117 open)50% (6 of 12 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NHL +21 pts n=68, ROI +6%
  • NBA +11 pts n=259, ROI +11%
  • Soccer +14 pts n=53, ROI +28%
  • NBA +45 pts n=29, ROI +40%
not computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 6 at avg 51¢, ROI +49%66% of 520 at avg 53¢, ROI +5%100% of 39 at avg 57¢, ROI +38%—
Entries under 30¢0%14% (won 33% of 73)3% (won 100% of 1)—
Entries 30–50¢17% (won 100% of 1)24% (won 56% of 125)33% (won 100% of 13)—
Entries 50–70¢83% (won 100% of 5)43% (won 69% of 226)44% (won 100% of 17)—
Entries 70¢ and up0%18% (won 98% of 96)21% (won 100% of 8)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketgoogleplaynigiri99robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18wata33-ts
Thunder vs. Clippers
opposite sides · consensus Thunder
—Clippers $488Thunder $271K—
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus Gen.G
—Bilibili Gaming $1.1KGen.G $93K—
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
—Clippers $8.9KThunder $8.3K—
Warriors vs. Spurs
opposite sides · consensus Spurs
—Spurs $8.3KWarriors $2.8K—
Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns vs. UNCW Seahawks
same side · consensus Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns
—Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns $333KLouisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns $209K—
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs
same side · consensus Team Falcons
—Team Falcons $978Team Falcons $136K—
Spread: Rockets (-15.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
Rockets $50KRockets $191——
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+1.5)
same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming
—Gen.G $326Gen.G $43K—