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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
googleplaykeeptheblueflagflyinghighrobloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18Synthesizerchan
Record (consensus markets)40% (2–3, n=5)43% (129–174, n=303)63% (12–7, n=19)no settled market
Consensus PnL$391K$115K$251K-$101
Tracked asPM monthly #17PM monthly #33PM monthly #20 + pinnedPM monthly #966
Sides with the consensus33% (1 of 3 open)49% (58 of 118 open)62% (8 of 13 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +32 pts n=50, ROI +31%
  • NBA +50 pts n=74, ROI +51%
  • Tennis +52 pts n=18, ROI +60%
  • Soccer +43 pts n=28, ROI +44%
none with 10+ settlednot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won83% of 54 at avg 53¢, ROI +30%100% of 151 at avg 52¢, ROI +47%100% of 9 at avg 49¢, ROI +49%—
Entries under 30¢0%6% (won 100% of 9)11% (won 100% of 1)—
Entries 30–50¢19% (won 70% of 10)42% (won 100% of 63)33% (won 100% of 3)—
Entries 50–70¢76% (won 85% of 41)40% (won 100% of 61)44% (won 100% of 4)—
Entries 70¢ and up6% (won 100% of 3)12% (won 100% of 18)11% (won 100% of 1)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketgoogleplaykeeptheblueflagflyinghighrobloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18Synthesizerchan
Spread: Knicks (-15.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
Bucks $28KKnicks $47K——
Spread: Celtics (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
Celtics $27K76ers $33K——
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Legacy
—Legacy $4.1KFURIA $18K—
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A
opposite sides · consensus FURIA
—Legacy $2.4KFURIA $7.1K—
Spread: Celtics (-1.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
—Celtics $3.6KCeltics $65K—
Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 227.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $44KUnder $7.4K——
Spread: Heat (-8.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
—Jazz $23KJazz $12K—
Spread: Magic (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Kings $5.7KKings $591—