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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026Flaznorpndb1Vanchalkenstein
Record (consensus markets)43% (11761–15331, n=27092)55% (13298–10666, n=23964)63% (1101–635, n=1736)53% (348–313, n=661)
Consensus PnL-$9.4M$1.4M$4.6M-$1.1M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #14PM monthly #109PM monthly #602
Sides with the consensus75% (6 of 8 open)71% (93 of 131 open)71% (67 of 95 open)0% (0 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15NFL −8 pts, n=147NBA −2 pts, n=128
Settled positions, side won100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%54% of 590 at avg 49¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 97% of 237)29% (won 11% of 403)13% (won 14% of 187)10% (won 24% of 58)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 100% of 1446)16% (won 38% of 228)19% (won 39% of 269)47% (won 51% of 276)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 2198)15% (won 62% of 214)23% (won 57% of 328)33% (won 59% of 192)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 1675)40% (won 94% of 553)44% (won 94% of 622)11% (won 77% of 64)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026Flaznorpndb1Vanchalkenstein
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $148Yes $2.7K——
Hersonissos 3: Oleksii Krutykh vs Oskari Paldanius
same side · consensus Oskari Paldanius
Oskari Paldanius $13KOskari Paldanius $2.8K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.2KUnder $13K——
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Ugo Humbert
same side · consensus Ugo Humbert
Ugo Humbert $7.1KUgo Humbert $591——
Hersonissos 3: Benjamin Pietri vs Alexander Vasilev
same side · consensus Benjamin Pietri
Benjamin Pietri $4.6KBenjamin Pietri $1.6K——