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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026FlaznorpS-Worksshaillakhani
Record (consensus markets)43% (11774–15353, n=27127)55% (13343–10705, n=24048)75% (2552–856, n=3408)34% (336–665, n=1001)
Consensus PnL-$9.5M$1.4M$3.6M-$84K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #14PM monthly #66was PM monthly #927
Sides with the consensus58% (7 of 12 open)66% (79 of 120 open)0% (0 of 1 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
  • Crypto +43 pts n=318, ROI +42%
  • Soccer +47 pts n=18, ROI +48%
  • NBA +50 pts n=10, ROI +51%
Weakest topic—NFL −24 pts, n=12Crypto −1 pts, n=46—
Settled positions, side won100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%81% of 374 at avg 37¢, ROI +46%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 97% of 237)30% (won 9% of 919)6% (won 14% of 145)25% (won 70% of 92)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 100% of 1446)15% (won 37% of 455)16% (won 48% of 367)60% (won 83% of 223)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 2198)14% (won 63% of 439)23% (won 60% of 509)16% (won 95% of 59)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 1675)42% (won 94% of 1302)55% (won 96% of 1235)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026FlaznorpS-Worksshaillakhani
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $141Yes $2.8K——
Hersonissos 3: Massimo Giunta vs Francesco Forti
opposite sides · consensus Massimo Giunta
Francesco Forti $220Massimo Giunta $609——
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: James Duckworth vs Cameron Norrie
same side · consensus Cameron Norrie
Cameron Norrie $15KCameron Norrie $12K——
Hersonissos 3: Nikita Mashtakov vs Adrian Andreev
same side · consensus Adrian Andreev
Adrian Andreev $19KAdrian Andreev $7.7K——
Orleans: Edas Butvilas vs Cosme Rolland De Ravel
same side · consensus Cosme Rolland De Ravel
Cosme Rolland De Ravel $20KCosme Rolland De Ravel $333——
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Yannick Hanfmann
same side · consensus Alex Michelsen
Alex Michelsen $14KAlex Michelsen $5.5K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.2KUnder $13K——