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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
fantasy7788HomeRunHazardjuice-fruitNotJump
Record (consensus markets)56% (5–4, n=9)55% (216–179, n=395)100% (1–0, n=1)70% (152–64, n=216)
Consensus PnL$421K$290K$152K$15K
Tracked asPM monthly #43PM monthly #7PM monthly #31was PM monthly #963
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 1 open)65% (112 of 172 open)no open consensus position65% (89 of 137 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settlednone with 10+ settlednot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 5 at avg 50¢, ROI +54%100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46%100% of 1 at avg 41¢, ROI +59%—
Entries under 30¢20% (won 100% of 1)1% (won 100% of 1)0%—
Entries 30–50¢20% (won 100% of 1)32% (won 100% of 31)100% (won 100% of 1)—
Entries 50–70¢60% (won 100% of 3)57% (won 100% of 55)0%—
Entries 70¢ and up0%10% (won 100% of 10)0%—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketfantasy7788HomeRunHazardjuice-fruitNotJump
Spread: Toledo (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Toledo
—UMass $3.8K—Toledo $48
Spread: Central Michigan (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan
—Sacramento State $2.8K—Central Michigan $43
Rangers vs. Flames
opposite sides · consensus Rangers
—Flames $793—Rangers $184
Spread: Ball State (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buffalo
—Buffalo $6—Ball State $54
Utah vs. Golden Knights
same side · consensus Golden Knights
—Golden Knights $15K—Golden Knights $314
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner
same side · consensus Team Falcons
Legacy $8.1K——Legacy $11
Spread: Central Michigan (-17.5)
same side · consensus Central Michigan
—Sacramento State $1.5K—Sacramento State $24
Buffalo vs. Ball State: O/U 51.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.4K—Over $2
Spread: Buffalo (-2.5)
same side · consensus Ball State
—Buffalo $486—Buffalo $38