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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| pIebe | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 70% (712–304, n=1016) | 63% (993–577, n=1570) | 48% (14165–15642, n=29807) |
| Consensus PnL | $1.1M | $4.8M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #195 + pinned | PM monthly #96 | PM monthly #29 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 80% (132 of 166 open) | 68% (50 of 73 open) | 60% (26 of 43 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Mentions −13 pts, n=20 | NFL −9 pts, n=144 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 71% of 941 at avg 70¢, ROI +4% | 64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 22% (won 6% of 204) | 13% (won 15% of 186) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 48% of 54) | 19% (won 39% of 267) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 6% (won 53% of 55) | 23% (won 58% of 326) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 67% (won 96% of 628) | 44% (won 94% of 619) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | pIebe | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $10 | No $53K | — |