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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | ndb1 | pIebe | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (583–722, n=1305) | 63% (993–578, n=1571) | 70% (715–305, n=1020) | 48% (14355–15860, n=30215) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.3M | $4.8M | $1.1M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #97 | PM monthly #197 + pinned | PM monthly #27 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (22 of 25 open) | 70% (55 of 79 open) | 79% (129 of 163 open) | 54% (22 of 41 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | Mentions −13 pts, n=20 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 71% of 944 at avg 70¢, ROI +3% | 94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 22% (won 6% of 204) | 10% (won 57% of 2588) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 206) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 6% (won 47% of 55) | 22% (won 94% of 5673) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 204) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 6% (won 52% of 56) | 35% (won 99% of 9163) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 67% (won 96% of 629) | 33% (won 100% of 8536) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | pIebe | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $37K | — | Yes $22K | — |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $22K | — | No $199 | — |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | No $407K | No $335K | — | — |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? same side · consensus No | — | No $54K | No $10 | — |