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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ndb1 | pIebe | primm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 63% (993–578, n=1571) | 70% (715–305, n=1020) | 49% (1129–1155, n=2284) | 48% (14355–15860, n=30215) |
| Consensus PnL | $4.8M | $1.1M | $3.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #97 | PM monthly #197 + pinned | PM monthly #50 | PM monthly #27 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 70% (55 of 79 open) | 79% (129 of 163 open) | 75% (3 of 4 open) | 56% (27 of 48 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | Mentions −13 pts, n=20 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 71% of 944 at avg 70¢, ROI +3% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 22% (won 6% of 204) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2588) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 6% (won 47% of 55) | 41% (won 99% of 421) | 22% (won 94% of 5673) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 6% (won 52% of 56) | 49% (won 99% of 508) | 35% (won 99% of 9163) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 67% (won 96% of 629) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 8536) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ndb1 | pIebe | primm | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $54K | No $10 | — | — |