← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| capnjack1497 | joseph00677 | primm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 20% (9–35, n=44) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 50% (1078–1087, n=2165) | 47% (13371–14881, n=28252) |
| Consensus PnL | -$60K | $5.6M | $3.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #979 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #48 | PM monthly #30 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | no open consensus position | 67% (20 of 30 open) | 60% (135 of 225 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
|
|
|
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 46% of 109 at avg 41¢, ROI +15% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 16% of 32) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 28% (won 40% of 30) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 41% (won 99% of 405) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 43% (won 70% of 47) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 49% (won 99% of 485) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 5% (won 100% of 46) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | capnjack1497 | joseph00677 | primm | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Central Michigan (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Eastern Michigan | — | — | Eastern Michigan $7.5K | Central Michigan $587 |
| Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan | — | — | Eastern Michigan $2.0K | Central Michigan $5.9K |
| Spread: UMass (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Ball State | — | — | Ball State $2.9K | UMass $831 |
| Spread: Central Michigan (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan | — | — | Eastern Michigan $3.4K | Central Michigan $18 |
| Spread: Ball State (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus UMass | — | — | UMass $2.8K | Ball State $281 |
| Toledo vs. Sacramento State: O/U 53.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $3.1K | Under $3 |
| Spread: Toledo (-27.5) opposite sides · consensus Toledo | — | — | Toledo $2.4K | Sacramento State $631 |
| Spread: Toledo (-26.5) opposite sides · consensus Toledo | — | — | Toledo $996 | Sacramento State $524 |
| Spread: Toledo (-17.5) opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State | — | — | Toledo $589 | Sacramento State $842 |
| Ball State vs. UMass: O/U 37.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $1.0K | Under $228 |
| Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan: O/U 43.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $811 | Over $410 |
| Spread: Toledo (-30.5) opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State | — | — | Toledo $277 | Sacramento State $466 |
| Spread: Toledo (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State | — | — | Toledo $198 | Sacramento State $62 |
| Spread: Eastern Michigan (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Eastern Michigan | — | — | Eastern Michigan $188 | Central Michigan $33 |
| Spread: Ball State (-5.5) same side · consensus Ball State | — | — | Ball State $4.1K | Ball State $850 |
| Toledo vs. Sacramento State: O/U 51.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Over $3.4K | Over $182 |
| Spread: Toledo (-13.5) same side · consensus Sacramento State | — | — | Toledo $2.0K | Toledo $1.3K |
| Spread: Toledo (-33.5) same side · consensus Sacramento State | — | — | Toledo $2.0K | Toledo $490 |
| Spread: Toledo (-20.5) same side · consensus Toledo | — | — | Toledo $948 | Toledo $785 |
| Spread: Toledo (-23.5) same side · consensus Toledo | — | — | Toledo $266 | Toledo $434 |
| Spread: Toledo (-9.5) same side · consensus Toledo | — | — | Toledo $2 | Toledo $651 |