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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| buoys | Flaznorp | joseph00677 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 48% (878–960, n=1838) | 53% (7602–6859, n=14461) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 49% (1224–1251, n=2475) |
| Consensus PnL | $99K | $4.1M | $5.3M | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #975 | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #67 |
| Sides with the consensus | 64% (111 of 174 open) | 65% (100 of 154 open) | no open consensus position | 44% (4 of 9 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Science −10 pts, n=16 | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 47% of 1664 at avg 41¢, ROI +2% | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 41% (won 12% of 686) | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 5% (won 94% of 51) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 48% of 269) | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 41% (won 99% of 421) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 19% (won 68% of 308) | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 49% (won 99% of 508) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 24% (won 91% of 401) | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 5% (won 100% of 47) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | buoys | Flaznorp | joseph00677 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas State vs. Oregon State same side · consensus Texas State | — | Texas State $420 | — | Texas State $12K |
| Hawai'i vs. UTEP same side · consensus Hawai'i | — | Hawai'i $470 | — | Hawai'i $12K |