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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
btnaFlaznorpndb1primm
Record (consensus markets)66% (42–22, n=64)52% (6585–6162, n=12747)63% (993–578, n=1571)49% (1129–1155, n=2284)
Consensus PnL$54K$3.7M$4.8M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #554PM monthly #13PM monthly #96PM monthly #49
Sides with the consensus70% (7 of 10 open)69% (186 of 269 open)71% (56 of 79 open)75% (3 of 4 open)
Strongest topics
  • Soccer +10 pts n=26, ROI −2%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −8 pts, n=147—
Settled positions, side won61% of 46 at avg 52¢, ROI +3%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢28% (won 31% of 13)29% (won 11% of 465)13% (won 14% of 187)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢15% (won 57% of 7)16% (won 40% of 255)19% (won 39% of 269)41% (won 99% of 421)
Entries 50–70¢30% (won 64% of 14)16% (won 62% of 260)23% (won 57% of 328)49% (won 99% of 508)
Entries 70¢ and up26% (won 92% of 12)39% (won 94% of 637)44% (won 94% of 622)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketbtnaFlaznorpndb1primm
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $18KNo $162——
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $4.4KNo $333——
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $4Under $30K—
Will Al Faisaly Saudi Club vs. Al Diraiyah Saudi Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $13KYes $190——