Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
breezybetsHomeRunHazardrobustmst
Record (consensus markets)41% (18–26, n=44)55% (216–179, n=395)42% (13–18, n=31)
Consensus PnL-$1.5K$290K$208K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #808PM monthly #7PM monthly #28
Sides with the consensus48% (12 of 25 open)64% (102 of 160 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won—100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46%100% of 13 at avg 45¢, ROI +50%
Entries under 30¢—1% (won 100% of 1)0%
Entries 30–50¢—32% (won 100% of 31)85% (won 100% of 11)
Entries 50–70¢—57% (won 100% of 55)15% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 70¢ and up—10% (won 100% of 10)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketbreezybetsHomeRunHazardrobustmst
Spread: Packers (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Vikings
Packers $205Vikings $5.6K—
Predators vs. Ducks
opposite sides · consensus Ducks
Predators $645Ducks $2.2K—
Rangers vs. Flames
opposite sides · consensus Rangers
Rangers $621Flames $793—
Utah vs. Golden Knights
same side · consensus Golden Knights
Golden Knights $717Golden Knights $15K—
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)
same side · consensus Trail Blazers
Thunder $17Thunder $3.6K—
Avalanche vs. Senators
same side · consensus Avalanche
Senators $885Senators $1.3K—
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)
same side · consensus Kraken
Kraken $562Kraken $862—
Mavericks vs. Timberwolves
same side · consensus Mavericks
Timberwolves $249Timberwolves $66—