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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| breezybets | HomeRunHazard | lllllllIlll | robustmst | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (18–26, n=44) | 55% (216–179, n=395) | 36% (4–7, n=11) | 42% (13–18, n=31) |
| Consensus PnL | -$1.5K | $290K | $165K | $208K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #808 | PM monthly #7 | was PM monthly #634 | PM monthly #28 |
| Sides with the consensus | 43% (10 of 23 open) | 62% (79 of 128 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
| none with 10+ settled |
|
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% | 100% of 5 at avg 64¢, ROI +32% | 100% of 13 at avg 45¢, ROI +50% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 1% (won 100% of 1) | 0% | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 32% (won 100% of 31) | 0% | 85% (won 100% of 11) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 57% (won 100% of 55) | 60% (won 100% of 3) | 15% (won 100% of 2) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 10% (won 100% of 10) | 40% (won 100% of 2) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | breezybets | HomeRunHazard | lllllllIlll | robustmst |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Packers (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Vikings | Packers $205 | Vikings $5.6K | — | — |
| Predators vs. Ducks opposite sides · consensus Ducks | Predators $645 | Ducks $2.2K | — | — |
| Utah vs. Golden Knights same side · consensus Golden Knights | Golden Knights $717 | Golden Knights $15K | — | — |
| Spread: Thunder (-2.5) same side · consensus Trail Blazers | Thunder $17 | Thunder $3.6K | — | — |
| Avalanche vs. Senators same side · consensus Avalanche | Senators $885 | Senators $1.3K | — | — |
| Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5) same side · consensus Kraken | Kraken $562 | Kraken $862 | — | — |
| Mavericks vs. Timberwolves same side · consensus Mavericks | Timberwolves $249 | Timberwolves $66 | — | — |